Sunday, April 01, 2007

An Interesting Out Come: 2008

With this quickly developing presidential race and candidate’s receiving public and media attention at an unprecedented level for how early it is, it gets one to think. Here is an interesting idea what if the two leaders in the polls getting the noms. What if Rudy Gullianni received the Republican nom and Hilary Clinton snatch up the Democrat’s nomination? Well as previously discussed and by your comments we see that Hillary looses her base and middle road voters and Rudy, well pro-gay marriage, pro-choice, pro-gun control and from NY, he could be the most interesting candidate choice. However, he would not be the first pro-choice Rep, like Gerald Ford (it is not a make or break in the party). Let us not forget he is for the war, which is an important point for Rep candidates, further more, he is one of the star players. The pro war could serve as a fatal stance, but it is not always the easiest to poopoo 9/11 with the Mayor of New York right there. Like Hilary, people knew Rudy would be running. Since 9/11 he has been waiting and preparing for the end of the Bush administration. Maybe Brian might recall a few high school conversations of what if Rudy was running? But it could be argued Rudy would lose votes just as fast as Hilary (see below). The base would be corrupted and straight ticket voters would rethink their parties. However Rudy might actually gain some middle ground Dem votes lost by Hilary making him less of a causality to the party.
Who will the republicans vote for, where can the right wing turn to, where will Christian conservatives sway the public? Don’t worry Senator Hagel can answer these questions and save the day. If Rudy gets the nomination Hagel will run as an independent. With Fundamentalists shining spotlighting an independent candidate it will create the shift in media that editors are looking for, this shift is a powerful new perspective. New Breaking Story: Is American Politics Changing Forever? More at 9:00.
The left side always produces a few people wanting/trying to run unsuccessfully, but with the new media focus on third parties this could revive some left/libertarian parties. As soon as the media sees the underdog parties rising to the occasion and raising notable funds (Hagel could get a lot of wealthy support from the south and Midwest), it will be a feeding frenzy a new refreshed view of the long, over reported race. That spotlight is important in winning and they could easily own it.
Imagine: Chuck, independent, gaining the large republican base, Rudy gaining middle and military votes but, Hilary playing the game well and with name recognition picking up some but loosing most and chasing voters out of the party leaving numerous liberal votes to be picked up by a few leftist candidates.
What a messed up political arena, I will love it. Honestly, do you know how big it will be for third parties to get name recognition, this could go against every thing I have been taught. But, actually, so was the upset of the Reps this year, remember people did it see it coming until a few months before in the polls during the races- as the war took a turn for the worst and media really pounded the problemed administration suddenly everything changed.
I know it is unlikely but don’t poopoo this, it has happened before, already the war has created a successful third party stance with Liberman. The Republicans weren’t always in existence, they were a third party, there were successful third parties that rose up to fight the masons, and even past presidents, Abraham Lincoln, have run on third party tickets and won because of a war. I know it is too soon, but the way things are headed this could be an interesting race any way you put it.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

great post, i just read an itersting one, kinda laying down the gauntlet.

check it out if u'd like

http://joeleonardi.wordpress.com/2007/04/02/a-challenge/